Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 2824.473819 3041.292035 3258.988560 3493.642291 3739.108778 3987.993074 4259.105128
2025-07-27 2464.726802 2792.402022 3131.956683 3508.884002 3914.387722 4336.364623 4807.518735
2025-08-03 2217.885363 2612.511705 3031.295299 3506.306678 4027.667693 4580.133016 5207.457494
2025-08-10 2037.502340 2481.608690 2962.510554 3517.829306 4137.342955 4803.391174 5569.762730
2025-08-17 1869.722511 2349.229250 2878.204926 3498.992445 4201.635507 4966.686967 5857.084604
2025-08-24 1752.480906 2264.412531 2838.582400 3522.012890 4305.270274 5167.339039 6180.334142
2025-08-31 1622.454650 2155.941189 2764.183016 3498.235556 4349.670229 5296.430985 6419.048891
2025-09-07 1550.922294 2111.380196 2759.416656 3550.666825 4477.680111 5517.235210 6759.027671
2025-09-14 1463.263087 2042.114775 2721.055701 3559.796753 4552.259423 5674.497230 7024.749911
2025-09-21 1376.994299 1969.795666 2674.978488 3556.122143 4608.781868 5808.563872 7261.994171
2025-09-28 1264.550519 1859.366979 2578.043603 3487.247591 4584.661250 5846.060380 7385.186008
2025-10-05 1257.498593 1881.272425 2642.297923 3612.473181 4790.868786 6152.308479 7820.731719
2025-10-12 1214.113500 1855.685744 2647.836968 3667.142320 4914.652004 6364.826887 8151.226777
2025-10-19 1154.853656 1806.891855 2622.464476 3682.436484 4990.224216 6520.351178 8415.502410
2025-10-26 1091.822873 1750.063347 2584.399194 3679.774275 5042.221285 6646.614254 8644.451273
2025-11-02 1039.505622 1705.087380 2559.402158 3691.667366 5110.604276 6791.467411 8894.840823
2025-11-09 977.493186 1644.033567 2511.241452 3672.224650 5138.707536 6886.724782 9085.354311
2025-11-16 937.030173 1610.907950 2498.030873 3695.985355 5219.391597 7044.825871 9350.727770
2025-11-23 880.085046 1552.025399 2448.661384 3671.443393 5238.293513 7126.884998 9524.049533
2025-11-30 856.575503 1539.733158 2460.589877 3725.558364 5355.513435 7328.611120 9841.759020
2025-12-07 817.867644 1503.683083 2439.117475 3734.980593 5415.479184 7459.772959 10073.942053
2025-12-14 776.597757 1462.033556 2408.543068 3731.188369 5457.702629 7568.488018 10278.534604
2025-12-21 714.456902 1386.368222 2328.788345 3660.101470 5412.109823 7567.270977 10347.918955